Phillips 66 (PSX)

NYSE · Energy · Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing · USA

Phillips 66 is a large cap company (market value between $10 billion and $200 billion) in the Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing industry.

Phillips operates five segments: Midstream provides crude oil and petroleum product transportation, terminaling and storage, plus natural gas services in the United States and liquefied petroleum gas exports globally. Chemicals holds an equity stake in Chevron Phillips Chemical. Refining converts crude oil into gasoline and distillates. Marketing and Specialties sells refined products and lubricants. Renewable Fuels processes renewable feedstocks.

From its FY2025 annual report (Form 10-K)

Intrinsic value, DCF valuation, financial health and value investing analysis for the Phillips 66 stock.

Our verdict on PSX

Overvalued: intrinsic value $186.73 per share, market price $290.55, margin of safety -55.6% (as of 2026-10-19).

Discounting its cash flows at 8.4% (average of 3 methods) values the shares at $186.73; the price of $290.55 is 56% above that value, and 77% of that value comes from beyond year five.

Leak Score: 51/100 on 10 of 12 signals (Weak Signal).

ETFs with the most weight in PSX

17 more funds hold it; the full list is part of the paid plan.

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Is PSX undervalued or overvalued?

PSX is overvalued (as of the 2026-10-19 close). Discounting its cash flows at 8.4% (average of 3 methods) values the shares at $186.73; the price of $290.55 is 56% above that value, and 77% of that value comes from beyond year five.

What is the intrinsic value of PSX?

$186.73 per share (as of the 2026-10-19 close), against a market price of $290.55. That is a margin of safety of -55.6%. The value is the average of the valuation methods that apply to this company, recomputed every night after the US close.

What growth is priced into PSX stock?

The price asks for more growth than the company has delivered. It needs the future to beat the past. Yearly sales growth the price needs: 7.8%. Yearly sales decline it has shown: 2.9%.

What is Phillips 66's Leak Score?

51 out of 100, which we rate "Weak Signal", on 10 of 12 value investing signals.