CVR Energy Inc (CVI) is overvalued and Phillips 66 (PSX) is overvalued.
Both trade above our estimate of their intrinsic value. CVI is the closer of the two: -21%, against -46% for PSX.
Values as of the 22 Sept 2026 close.
Discounting its cash flows at 8.5% (average of 3 methods) values the shares at $42.93; the price of $52.13 is 21% above that value, and 78% of that value comes from beyond year five.
Leak Score 0/100 on 3 of 12 signals
Discounting its cash flows at 8.4% (average of 3 methods) values the shares at $175.90; the price of $256.78 is 46% above that value, and 77% of that value comes from beyond year five.
Leak Score 60/100 on 8 of 12 signals
| Metric | CVI | PSX |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | Overvalued | Overvalued |
| Price | $52.13 | $256.78 |
| Intrinsic value | $42.93 | $175.90 |
| Margin of safety | -21% | -46% |
| Leak Score | 0/100 (3/12) | 60/100 (8/12) |
| Market cap | $5.2B | $102.5B |
| Revenue growth, 5 years | 12.8% | 15.7% |
| Operating margin | 6.8% | 5.9% |
| Net margin | 0.8% | 4.6% |
| Return on equity | 13.9% | 24.0% |
| Debt to equity | 3.43 | 0.65 |
| P/E | 75.9x | 14.6x |
| Forward P/E | 19.1x | 10.1x |
| P/B | 10.0x | 3.3x |
| Dividend yield | 0.7% | 2.0% |