Packaging Corp Of America (PKG)

NYSE · Consumer Cyclical · Packaging & Containers · USA

Packaging Corp Of America is a large cap company (market value between $10 billion and $200 billion) in the Packaging & Containers industry.

Packaging Corporation of America manufactures containerboard products and uncoated freesheet paper in North America. The company operates mills producing linerboard and corrugating medium, and corrugated products plants that manufacture packaging for food, beverages, retail goods, and industrial applications. It serves customers across diverse industries and geographic regions.

From its FY2025 annual report (Form 10-K)

Intrinsic value, DCF valuation, financial health and value investing analysis for the Packaging Corp Of America stock.

Our verdict on PKG

Overvalued: intrinsic value $147.89 per share, market price $236.38, margin of safety -59.8% (as of 2026-10-19).

Discounting its cash flows at 8.6% (average of 3 methods) values the shares at $147.89; the price of $236.38 is 60% above that value, and 77% of that value comes from beyond year five.

Leak Score: 35/100 on 12 of 12 signals (On Watch).

ETFs with the most weight in PKG

17 more funds hold it; the full list is part of the paid plan.

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10 more in this industry show a wider margin of safety.

Is PKG undervalued or overvalued?

PKG is overvalued (as of the 2026-10-19 close). Discounting its cash flows at 8.6% (average of 3 methods) values the shares at $147.89; the price of $236.38 is 60% above that value, and 77% of that value comes from beyond year five.

What is the intrinsic value of PKG?

$147.89 per share (as of the 2026-10-19 close), against a market price of $236.38. That is a margin of safety of -59.8%. The value is the average of the valuation methods that apply to this company, recomputed every night after the US close.

What is Packaging Corp Of America's Leak Score?

35 out of 100, which we rate "On Watch", on 12 of 12 value investing signals.