Union Pacific Corp (UNP)

NYSE · Industrials · Railroads · USA

Union Pacific Corp is a large cap company (market value between $10 billion and $200 billion) in the Railroads industry.

Union Pacific Corp operates a Class I railroad spanning the western two-thirds of the United States, connecting major ports and gateways throughout North America and Mexico. The company transports freight across three business segments: Bulk products including grain and coal, Industrial commodities such as chemicals and metals, and Premium cargo comprising automobiles and intermodal containers for various customers.

From its FY2025 annual report (Form 10-K)

Intrinsic value, DCF valuation, financial health and value investing analysis for the Union Pacific Corp stock.

Our verdict on UNP

Overvalued: intrinsic value $168.10 per share, market price $287.01, margin of safety -70.7% (as of 2026-10-19).

Discounting its cash flows at 8.9% (average of 3 methods) values the shares at $168.10; the price of $287.01 is 71% above that value, and 76% of that value comes from beyond year five.

Leak Score: 52/100 on 12 of 12 signals (Weak Signal).

ETFs with the most weight in UNP

17 more funds hold it; the full list is part of the paid plan.

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Is UNP undervalued or overvalued?

UNP is overvalued (as of the 2026-10-19 close). Discounting its cash flows at 8.9% (average of 3 methods) values the shares at $168.10; the price of $287.01 is 71% above that value, and 76% of that value comes from beyond year five.

What is the intrinsic value of UNP?

$168.10 per share (as of the 2026-10-19 close), against a market price of $287.01. That is a margin of safety of -70.7%. The value is the average of the valuation methods that apply to this company, recomputed every night after the US close.

What growth is priced into UNP stock?

The price asks for more growth than the company has delivered. It needs the future to beat the past. Yearly sales growth the price needs: 16.4%. Yearly sales growth it has sustained: 1.1%.

What is Union Pacific Corp's Leak Score?

52 out of 100, which we rate "Weak Signal", on 12 of 12 value investing signals.