NYSE · Utilities · Utilities - Independent Power Producers · USA
Vistra Corp is a large cap company (market value between $10 billion and $200 billion) in the Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry.
Vistra operates as an integrated energy supplier delivering electricity and natural gas to residential, commercial, and industrial consumers through multiple retail brands including TXU Energy and Ambit Energy. The company maintains a diverse generation portfolio powered by natural gas, nuclear, coal, solar, and battery storage across its geographic footprint.
From its FY2025 annual report (Form 10-K)
Intrinsic value, DCF valuation, financial health and value investing analysis for the Vistra Corp stock.
Overvalued: intrinsic value $111.54 per share, market price $149.70, margin of safety -34.2% (as of 2026-10-19).
Discounting its cash flows at 9.8% (average of 2 methods) values the shares at $111.54; the price of $149.70 is 34% above that value, and 73% of that value comes from beyond year five.
Leak Score: 45/100 on 12 of 12 signals (On Watch).
17 more funds hold it; the full list is part of the paid plan.
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VST is overvalued (as of the 2026-10-19 close). Discounting its cash flows at 9.8% (average of 2 methods) values the shares at $111.54; the price of $149.70 is 34% above that value, and 73% of that value comes from beyond year five.
$111.54 per share (as of the 2026-10-19 close), against a market price of $149.70. That is a margin of safety of -34.2%. The value is the average of the valuation methods that apply to this company, recomputed every night after the US close.
The price asks for more growth than the company has delivered. It needs the future to beat the past. Yearly sales growth the price needs: 15.8%. Yearly sales growth it has sustained: 7.7%.
45 out of 100, which we rate "On Watch", on 12 of 12 value investing signals.