Carvana Co (CVNA)

NYSE · Consumer Cyclical · Auto & Truck Dealerships · USA

Carvana Co is a large cap company (market value between $10 billion and $200 billion) in the Auto & Truck Dealerships industry.

Carvana is a holding company operating an online marketplace where consumers purchase and sell pre-owned vehicles. The company manages a vertically integrated supply chain encompassing vehicle acquisition, inspection, reconditioning, and logistics across the United States. Carvana offers integrated financing and complementary services through its digital platform and physical locations.

From its FY2025 annual report (Form 10-K)

Intrinsic value, DCF valuation, financial health and value investing analysis for the Carvana Co stock.

Our verdict on CVNA

Overvalued: intrinsic value $45.11 per share, market price $60.26, margin of safety -33.6% (as of 2026-10-20).

Discounting its cash flows at 10.8% (average of 3 methods) values the shares at $45.11; the price of $60.26 is 34% above that value, and 72% of that value comes from beyond year five.

Leak Score: 53/100 on 10 of 12 signals (Weak Signal).

ETFs with the most weight in CVNA

17 more funds hold it; the full list is part of the paid plan.

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3 more in this industry show a wider margin of safety.

Is CVNA undervalued or overvalued?

CVNA is overvalued (as of the 2026-10-20 close). Discounting its cash flows at 10.8% (average of 3 methods) values the shares at $45.11; the price of $60.26 is 34% above that value, and 72% of that value comes from beyond year five.

What is the intrinsic value of CVNA?

$45.11 per share (as of the 2026-10-20 close), against a market price of $60.26. That is a margin of safety of -33.6%. The value is the average of the valuation methods that apply to this company, recomputed every night after the US close.

What growth is priced into CVNA stock?

The price needs faster growth than we project for any company. It is betting on an exception. Yearly sales growth the price needs: 38.3%. Yearly sales growth it has sustained: 26.9%.

What is Carvana Co's Leak Score?

53 out of 100, which we rate "Weak Signal", on 10 of 12 value investing signals.