Spotify Technology SA (SPOT)

NYSE · Communication Services · Internet Content & Information · Sweden

Spotify Technology SA is a large cap company (market value between $10 billion and $200 billion) in the Internet Content & Information industry.

Intrinsic value, DCF valuation, financial health and value investing analysis for the Spotify Technology SA stock.

Our verdict on SPOT

Overvalued: intrinsic value $280.29 per share, market price $518.76, margin of safety -85.1% (as of 2026-10-19).

Discounting its cash flows at 11.7% (average of 3 methods) values the shares at $280.29; the price of $518.76 is 85% above that value, and 68% of that value comes from beyond year five.

Leak Score: 71/100 on 12 of 12 signals (Clear Leak).

ETFs with the most weight in SPOT

17 more funds hold it; the full list is part of the paid plan.

More on SPOT

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Cheaper than SPOT in Internet Content & Information

17 more in this industry show a wider margin of safety.

Is SPOT undervalued or overvalued?

SPOT is overvalued (as of the 2026-10-19 close). Discounting its cash flows at 11.7% (average of 3 methods) values the shares at $280.29; the price of $518.76 is 85% above that value, and 68% of that value comes from beyond year five.

What is the intrinsic value of SPOT?

$280.29 per share (as of the 2026-10-19 close), against a market price of $518.76. That is a margin of safety of -85.1%. The value is the average of the valuation methods that apply to this company, recomputed every night after the US close.

What growth is priced into SPOT stock?

The price needs faster growth than we project for any company. It is betting on an exception. Yearly sales growth the price needs: 47.0%. Yearly sales growth it has sustained: 17.1%.

What is Spotify Technology SA's Leak Score?

71 out of 100, which we rate "Clear Leak", on 12 of 12 value investing signals.