Simon Property Group Inc (SPG)

NYSE · Real Estate · REIT - Retail · USA

Simon Property Group Inc is a large cap company (market value between $10 billion and $200 billion) in the REIT - Retail industry.

Simon Property Group is a self-administered real estate investment trust that owns, develops and manages shopping, dining, entertainment and mixed-use destinations. Its portfolio includes malls, Premium Outlets, and Mills properties across the United States and international markets, along with equity stakes in retail operations and other real estate investments.

From its FY2025 annual report (Form 10-K)

Intrinsic value, DCF valuation, financial health and value investing analysis for the Simon Property Group Inc stock.

Our verdict on SPG

Overvalued: intrinsic value $122.19 per share, market price $202.49, margin of safety -65.7% (as of 2026-10-19).

Discounting its cash flows at 9.3% (average of 3 methods) values the shares at $122.19; the price of $202.49 is 66% above that value, and 75% of that value comes from beyond year five.

Leak Score: 49/100 on 10 of 12 signals (On Watch).

ETFs with the most weight in SPG

17 more funds hold it; the full list is part of the paid plan.

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Is SPG undervalued or overvalued?

SPG is overvalued (as of the 2026-10-19 close). Discounting its cash flows at 9.3% (average of 3 methods) values the shares at $122.19; the price of $202.49 is 66% above that value, and 75% of that value comes from beyond year five.

What is the intrinsic value of SPG?

$122.19 per share (as of the 2026-10-19 close), against a market price of $202.49. That is a margin of safety of -65.7%. The value is the average of the valuation methods that apply to this company, recomputed every night after the US close.

What growth is priced into SPG stock?

The price asks for more growth than the company has delivered. It needs the future to beat the past. Yearly sales growth the price needs: 21.7%. Yearly sales growth it has sustained: 6.7%.

What is Simon Property Group Inc's Leak Score?

49 out of 100, which we rate "On Watch", on 10 of 12 value investing signals.