Brixmor Property Group Inc (BRX) is overvalued and Simon Property Group Inc (SPG) is overvalued.
Both trade above our estimate of their intrinsic value. SPG is the closer of the two: -70%, against -81% for BRX.
Values as of the 22 Sept 2026 close.
Discounting its cash flows at 8.1% (average of 3 methods) values the shares at $15.49; the price of $27.96 is 81% above that value, and 79% of that value comes from beyond year five.
Leak Score 14/100 on 3 of 12 signals
Discounting its cash flows at 9.4% (average of 3 methods) values the shares at $121.27; the price of $205.95 is 70% above that value, and 75% of that value comes from beyond year five.
Leak Score 44/100 on 8 of 12 signals
| Metric | BRX | SPG |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | Overvalued | Overvalued |
| Price | $27.96 | $205.95 |
| Intrinsic value | $15.49 | $121.27 |
| Margin of safety | -81% | -70% |
| Leak Score | 14/100 (3/12) | 44/100 (8/12) |
| Market cap | $8.6B | $66.6B |
| Revenue growth, 5 years | 5.4% | 6.7% |
| Operating margin | 36.8% | 47.4% |
| Net margin | 30.7% | 25.3% |
| Return on equity | 14.5% | 135.4% |
| Debt to equity | 1.83 | 6.64 |
| P/E | 19.9x | 39.1x |
| Forward P/E | 27.6x | 29.4x |
| P/B | 2.8x | 15.2x |
| Dividend yield | 4.5% | 4.4% |