Shopify Inc (SHOP)

NASD · Technology · Software - Application · Canada

Shopify Inc is a mega cap company (market value over $200 billion) in the Software - Application industry.

Shopify provides an all-in-one commerce platform enabling merchants to start and grow businesses across multiple sales channels including online stores, physical retail and social media. The company generates revenue through subscriptions for its platform and point of sale offerings, as well as merchant solutions including payment processing, lending and shipping services.

From its FY2025 annual report (Form 10-K)

Intrinsic value, DCF valuation, financial health and value investing analysis for the Shopify Inc stock.

Our verdict on SHOP

Overvalued: intrinsic value $33.38 per share, market price $171.06, margin of safety -412.5% (as of 2026-10-19).

Discounting its cash flows at 15.8% (average of 3 methods) values the shares at $33.38; the price of $171.06 is 412% above that value, and 59% of that value comes from beyond year five.

Leak Score: 57/100 on 10 of 12 signals (Weak Signal).

ETFs with the most weight in SHOP

17 more funds hold it; the full list is part of the paid plan.

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Is SHOP undervalued or overvalued?

SHOP is overvalued (as of the 2026-10-19 close). Discounting its cash flows at 15.8% (average of 3 methods) values the shares at $33.38; the price of $171.06 is 412% above that value, and 59% of that value comes from beyond year five.

What is the intrinsic value of SHOP?

$33.38 per share (as of the 2026-10-19 close), against a market price of $171.06. That is a margin of safety of -412.5%. The value is the average of the valuation methods that apply to this company, recomputed every night after the US close.

What growth is priced into SHOP stock?

No growth rate we can model gets the value up to the price: the price rests on something other than selling more. Yearly sales growth the price needs: more than 80%. Yearly sales growth it has sustained: 26.1%.

What is Shopify Inc's Leak Score?

57 out of 100, which we rate "Weak Signal", on 10 of 12 value investing signals.