NYSE · Consumer Cyclical · Internet Retail · China
Alibaba Group Holding Ltd ADR is a mega cap company (market value over $200 billion) in the Internet Retail industry.
Intrinsic value, DCF valuation, financial health and value investing analysis for the Alibaba Group Holding Ltd ADR stock.
Overvalued: intrinsic value $80.92 per share, market price $108.61, margin of safety -34.2% (as of 2026-10-20).
Discounting its cash flows at 7.9% (average of 3 methods) values the shares at $80.92; the price of $108.61 is 34% above that value, and 80% of that value comes from beyond year five.
Leak Score: 40/100 on 11 of 12 signals (On Watch).
13 more funds hold it; the full list is part of the paid plan.
1 more in this industry show a wider margin of safety.
BABA is overvalued (as of the 2026-10-20 close). Discounting its cash flows at 7.9% (average of 3 methods) values the shares at $80.92; the price of $108.61 is 34% above that value, and 80% of that value comes from beyond year five.
$80.92 per share (as of the 2026-10-20 close), against a market price of $108.61. That is a margin of safety of -34.2%. The value is the average of the valuation methods that apply to this company, recomputed every night after the US close.
The price asks for more growth than the company has delivered. It needs the future to beat the past. Yearly sales growth the price needs: 15.4%. Yearly sales growth it has sustained: 5.1%.
40 out of 100, which we rate "On Watch", on 11 of 12 value investing signals.