Progressive Corp vs W.R. Berkley Corp

Progressive Corp (PGR) is fairly valued and W.R. Berkley Corp (WRB) is fairly valued.

Against our estimates of intrinsic value, PGR trades at the wider discount: a margin of safety of +3%, against -2% for WRB.

Values as of the 22 Sept 2026 close.

Progressive Corp (PGR)

Book value at 2.50x, the multiple a 34.9% return on equity justifies, blended with earnings, values the shares at $213.51; the price of $206.94 is 3% below that value.

Leak Score 65/100 on 9 of 12 signals

W.R. Berkley Corp (WRB)

Book value at 2.50x, the multiple a 20.2% return on equity justifies, blended with earnings, values the shares at $67.15; the price of $68.17 is 2% above that value.

Leak Score 72/100 on 9 of 12 signals

MetricPGRWRB
VerdictFairly valuedFairly valued
Price$206.94$68.17
Intrinsic value$213.51$67.15
Margin of safety+3%-2%
Leak Score65/100 (9/12)72/100 (9/12)
Market cap$120.3B$25.3B
Revenue growth, 5 years15.5%12.7%
Operating margin16.6%16.9%
Net margin12.8%12.9%
Return on equity34.9%20.2%
Debt to equity0.240.32
P/E10.4x14.0x
Forward P/E12.8x14.1x
P/B3.5x2.6x
Dividend yield4.7%2.0%

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