Grocery Outlet Holding Corp (GO) is overvalued and Weis Markets Inc (WMK) is overvalued.
Both trade above our estimate of their intrinsic value. GO is the closer of the two: -31%, against -46% for WMK.
Values as of the 22 Sept 2026 close.
Its through-the-cycle earnings (2.7% median margin), capitalised at 7.8% with no growth, values the shares at $8.78; the price of $11.49 is 31% above that value.
Leak Score 27/100 on 8 of 12 signals
Discounting its cash flows at 7.6% (average of 3 methods) values the shares at $49.68; the price of $72.72 is 46% above that value, and 81% of that value comes from beyond year five.
Leak Score 49/100 on 9 of 12 signals
| Metric | GO | WMK |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | Overvalued | Overvalued |
| Price | $11.49 | $72.72 |
| Intrinsic value | $8.78 | $49.68 |
| Margin of safety | -31% | -46% |
| Leak Score | 27/100 (8/12) | 49/100 (9/12) |
| Market cap | $1.1B | $1.8B |
| Revenue growth, 5 years | 8.4% | 3.8% |
| Operating margin | 4.5% | 2.3% |
| Net margin | -8.0% | 1.9% |
| Return on equity | -38.1% | 7.2% |
| Debt to equity | 2.27 | 0.12 |
| P/E | — | 18.7x |
| Forward P/E | 17.2x | — |
| P/B | 1.4x | 1.3x |
| Dividend yield | — | 1.9% |