NASD · Consumer Defensive · Grocery Stores · USA
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp is a small cap company (market value between $300 million and $2 billion) in the Grocery Stores industry.
Grocery Outlet is an extreme value retailer selling quality, name-brand consumables and fresh products through independently operated stores across multiple U.S. states. The company sources merchandise opportunistically at significant discounts and operates small-box stores featuring rotating deals alongside everyday staples. Independent operators run individual locations, handle local merchandising and share profits with the company.
From its FY2025 annual report (Form 10-K)
Intrinsic value, DCF valuation, financial health and value investing analysis for the Grocery Outlet Holding Corp stock.
Overvalued: intrinsic value $9.88 per share, market price $12.93, margin of safety -30.8% (as of 2026-10-30).
Its through-the-cycle earnings (2.9% median margin), capitalised at 7.9% with no growth, values the shares at $9.88; the price of $12.93 is 31% above that value.
Leak Score: 21/100 on 10 of 12 signals (On Watch).
17 more funds hold it; the full list is part of the paid plan.
GO is overvalued (as of the 2026-10-30 close). Its through-the-cycle earnings (2.9% median margin), capitalised at 7.9% with no growth, values the shares at $9.88; the price of $12.93 is 31% above that value.
$9.88 per share (as of the 2026-10-30 close), against a market price of $12.93. That is a margin of safety of -30.8%. The value is the average of the valuation methods that apply to this company, recomputed every night after the US close.
21 out of 100, which we rate "On Watch", on 10 of 12 value investing signals.