Allstate Corp (ALL) is undervalued and Progressive Corp (PGR) is fairly valued.
Against our estimates of intrinsic value, ALL trades at the wider discount: a margin of safety of +55%, against +3% for PGR.
Values as of the 22 Sept 2026 close.
Book value at 2.50x, the multiple a 46.1% return on equity justifies, blended with earnings, values the shares at $506.48; the price of $229.50 is 55% below that value.
Leak Score 90/100 on 9 of 12 signals
Book value at 2.50x, the multiple a 34.9% return on equity justifies, blended with earnings, values the shares at $213.51; the price of $206.94 is 3% below that value.
Leak Score 65/100 on 9 of 12 signals
| Metric | ALL | PGR |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | Undervalued | Fairly valued |
| Price | $229.50 | $206.94 |
| Intrinsic value | $506.48 | $213.51 |
| Margin of safety | +55% | +3% |
| Leak Score | 90/100 (9/12) | 65/100 (9/12) |
| Market cap | $58.0B | $120.3B |
| Revenue growth, 5 years | 10.1% | 15.5% |
| Operating margin | 23.8% | 16.6% |
| Net margin | 18.8% | 12.8% |
| Return on equity | 46.1% | 34.9% |
| Debt to equity | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| P/E | 4.6x | 10.4x |
| Forward P/E | 8.3x | 12.8x |
| P/B | 1.8x | 3.5x |
| Dividend yield | 1.9% | 4.7% |