Cracker Barrel Old Country Store Inc (CBRL) valuation

CBRL: overvalued.

Figures as of the 2026-09-22 close.

How is CBRL's intrinsic value calculated?

Discounting its cash flows at 10.1% (average of 3 methods) values the shares at $28.11; the price of $45.48 is 62% above that value, and 72% of that value comes from beyond year five. The value is recomputed every night after the US close, from the company's own filings with the SEC and the day's closing price.

Is CBRL in the buy zone?

We call it the buy zone when the price is at least 20% below our estimate of intrinsic value. CBRL trades at $45.48 against a value of $28.11, a margin of safety of -61.8%: it is not in the buy zone. A margin of safety is room for our estimate to be wrong, not a forecast.

At what price would CBRL be in the buy zone?

At $22.49 or lower, which is 20% below our estimate of $28.11. That is 51% under today's price of $45.48, if our estimate does not change. It will: it moves with every annual report.