Yum Brands Inc (YUM) is slightly overvalued and Yum China Holdings Inc (YUMC) is undervalued.
Against our estimates of intrinsic value, YUMC trades at the wider discount: a margin of safety of +23%, against -8% for YUM.
Values as of the 22 Sept 2026 close.
Discounting its cash flows at 7.7% (average of 3 methods) values the shares at $129.33; the price of $139.71 is 8% above that value, and 81% of that value comes from beyond year five.
Leak Score 65/100 on 8 of 12 signals
Discounting its cash flows at 8.7% (average of 3 methods) values the shares at $54.25; the price of $41.58 is 23% below that value, and 77% of that value comes from beyond year five.
Leak Score 100/100 on 3 of 12 signals
| Metric | YUM | YUMC |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | Slightly overvalued | Undervalued |
| Price | $139.71 | $41.58 |
| Intrinsic value | $129.33 | $54.25 |
| Margin of safety | -8% | +23% |
| Leak Score | 65/100 (8/12) | 100/100 (3/12) |
| Market cap | $38.1B | $14.2B |
| Revenue growth, 5 years | 7.8% | 7.4% |
| Operating margin | 32.4% | 12.5% |
| Net margin | 25.4% | 7.8% |
| Return on equity | — | 17.5% |
| Debt to equity | — | 0.43 |
| P/E | 17.6x | 15.3x |
| Forward P/E | 19.3x | 12.4x |
| P/B | — | 2.7x |
| Dividend yield | 2.1% | 2.7% |