Sysco Corp (SYY) is fairly valued and US Foods Holding Corp (USFD) is overvalued.
Both trade above our estimate of their intrinsic value. SYY is the closer of the two: -4%, against -60% for USFD.
Values as of the 22 Sept 2026 close.
Discounting its cash flows at 7.9% (average of 3 methods) values the shares at $75.42; the price of $78.67 is 4% above that value, and 80% of that value comes from beyond year five.
Leak Score 58/100 on 10 of 12 signals
Discounting its cash flows at 8.6% (average of 3 methods) values the shares at $58.72; the price of $94.20 is 60% above that value, and 77% of that value comes from beyond year five.
Leak Score 54/100 on 10 of 12 signals
| Metric | SYY | USFD |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | Fairly valued | Overvalued |
| Price | $78.67 | $94.20 |
| Intrinsic value | $75.42 | $58.72 |
| Margin of safety | -4% | -60% |
| Leak Score | 58/100 (10/12) | 54/100 (10/12) |
| Market cap | $38.7B | $20.4B |
| Revenue growth, 5 years | 10.5% | 11.5% |
| Operating margin | 4.2% | 3.4% |
| Net margin | 2.1% | 1.8% |
| Return on equity | 78.1% | 16.4% |
| Debt to equity | 5.61 | 1.26 |
| P/E | 21.5x | 29.0x |
| Forward P/E | 14.6x | 16.9x |
| P/B | 14.1x | 4.8x |
| Dividend yield | 2.8% | — |