Stanley Black & Decker Inc (SWK) is slightly overvalued and Timken Co (TKR) is overvalued.
Both trade above our estimate of their intrinsic value. SWK is the closer of the two: -19%, against -24% for TKR.
Values as of the 22 Sept 2026 close.
Discounting its cash flows at 9.2% (average of 3 methods) values the shares at $77.17; the price of $92.13 is 19% above that value, and 75% of that value comes from beyond year five.
Leak Score 0/100 on 2 of 12 signals
Discounting its cash flows at 9.4% (average of 3 methods) values the shares at $93.09; the price of $115.52 is 24% above that value, and 74% of that value comes from beyond year five.
Leak Score 14/100 on 3 of 12 signals
| Metric | SWK | TKR |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | Slightly overvalued | Overvalued |
| Price | $92.13 | $115.52 |
| Intrinsic value | $77.17 | $93.09 |
| Margin of safety | -19% | -24% |
| Leak Score | 0/100 (2/12) | 14/100 (3/12) |
| Market cap | $13.9B | $8.0B |
| Revenue growth, 5 years | 3.0% | 5.5% |
| Operating margin | 9.2% | 15.0% |
| Net margin | 4.1% | 5.4% |
| Return on equity | 6.9% | 8.2% |
| Debt to equity | 0.53 | 0.69 |
| P/E | 22.5x | 31.3x |
| Forward P/E | 14.4x | 15.8x |
| P/B | 1.6x | 2.5x |
| Dividend yield | 3.6% | 1.2% |