Ryanair Holdings Plc ADR (RYAAY) is overvalued and United Airlines Holdings Inc (UAL) is fairly valued.
Against our estimates of intrinsic value, UAL trades at the wider discount: a margin of safety of +4%, against -26% for RYAAY.
Values as of the 22 Sept 2026 close.
7.0x EV/EBITDAR, with aircraft leases counted as debt, values the shares at $44.20; the price of $55.85 is 26% above that value.
Leak Score 59/100 on 3 of 12 signals
7.0x EV/EBITDAR, with aircraft leases counted as debt, values the shares at $119.98; the price of $115.21 is 4% below that value.
Leak Score 45/100 on 10 of 12 signals
| Metric | RYAAY | UAL |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | Overvalued | Fairly valued |
| Price | $55.85 | $115.21 |
| Intrinsic value | $44.20 | $119.98 |
| Margin of safety | -26% | +4% |
| Leak Score | 59/100 (3/12) | 45/100 (10/12) |
| Market cap | $28.9B | $37.4B |
| Revenue growth, 5 years | 56.7% | 30.9% |
| Operating margin | 13.6% | 6.8% |
| Net margin | 12.1% | 5.6% |
| Return on equity | 22.6% | 23.3% |
| Debt to equity | 0.02 | 2.02 |
| P/E | 13.5x | 10.8x |
| Forward P/E | 13.6x | 7.8x |
| P/B | 2.7x | 2.2x |
| Dividend yield | 1.7% | — |