RXO Inc vs TFI International Inc

RXO Inc (RXO) is undervalued and TFI International Inc (TFII) is overvalued.

Against our estimates of intrinsic value, RXO trades at the wider discount: a margin of safety of +62%, against -58% for TFII.

Values as of the 22 Sept 2026 close.

RXO Inc (RXO)

A 1.5x revenue multiple, discounted for its losses, values the shares at $52.21; the price of $19.79 is 62% below that value.

Leak Score 56/100 on 2 of 12 signals

TFI International Inc (TFII)

Discounting its cash flows at 10.6% (average of 3 methods) values the shares at $79.24; the price of $125.04 is 58% above that value, and 72% of that value comes from beyond year five.

Leak Score 14/100 on 3 of 12 signals

MetricRXOTFII
VerdictUndervaluedOvervalued
Price$19.79$125.04
Intrinsic value$52.21$79.24
Margin of safety+62%-58%
Leak Score56/100 (2/12)14/100 (3/12)
Market cap$3.3B$10.3B
Revenue growth, 5 years11.3%15.8%
Operating margin-0.2%7.1%
Net margin-1.7%4.1%
Return on equity-6.8%12.4%
Debt to equity0.481.11
P/E30.7x
Forward P/E32.2x15.8x
P/B2.2x3.8x
Dividend yield1.3%

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