NVIDIA Corp (NVDA) is overvalued and Texas Instruments Inc (TXN) is overvalued.
Both trade above our estimate of their intrinsic value. NVDA is the closer of the two: -38%, against -43% for TXN.
Values as of the 19 Oct 2026 close.
A 12.5x revenue multiple, adjusted for growth and margin, values the shares at $156.98; the price of $217.09 is 38% above that value.
Leak Score 71/100 on 12 of 12 signals
A 9.6x revenue multiple, adjusted for growth and margin, values the shares at $193.18; the price of $276.15 is 43% above that value.
Leak Score 42/100 on 11 of 12 signals
| Metric | NVDA | TXN |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | Overvalued | Overvalued |
| Price | $217.09 | $276.15 |
| Intrinsic value | $156.98 | $193.18 |
| Margin of safety | -38% | -43% |
| Leak Score | 71/100 (12/12) | 42/100 (11/12) |
| Market cap | $5.23T | $252.2B |
| Revenue growth, 5 years | 66.9% | 4.1% |
| Operating margin | 65.2% | 38.1% |
| Net margin | 63.7% | 30.9% |
| Return on equity | 117.2% | 35.0% |
| Debt to equity | 0.17 | 0.78 |
| P/E | 27.4x | 42.0x |
| Forward P/E | 13.8x | 26.6x |
| P/B | 22.9x | 14.0x |
| Dividend yield | 0.4% | 2.1% |