NextEra Energy Inc (NEE) is overvalued and National Grid Plc ADR (NGG) is overvalued.
Both trade above our estimate of their intrinsic value. NEE is the closer of the two: -20%, against -21% for NGG.
Values as of the 22 Sept 2026 close.
Discounting its cash flows at 7.7% (average of 3 methods) values the shares at $66.02; the price of $79.26 is 20% above that value, and 81% of that value comes from beyond year five.
Leak Score 33/100 on 10 of 12 signals
Discounting its cash flows at 7.3% (average of 3 methods) values the shares at $63.55; the price of $76.86 is 21% above that value, and 82% of that value comes from beyond year five.
Leak Score 14/100 on 3 of 12 signals
| Metric | NEE | NGG |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | Overvalued | Overvalued |
| Price | $79.26 | $76.86 |
| Intrinsic value | $66.02 | $63.55 |
| Margin of safety | -20% | -21% |
| Leak Score | 33/100 (10/12) | 14/100 (3/12) |
| Market cap | $165.3B | $77.3B |
| Revenue growth, 5 years | 9.2% | 5.8% |
| Operating margin | 26.8% | 28.5% |
| Net margin | 33.1% | 18.3% |
| Return on equity | 17.2% | 8.6% |
| Debt to equity | 1.93 | 1.19 |
| P/E | 17.8x | 17.6x |
| Forward P/E | 18.0x | 11.7x |
| P/B | 2.9x | 1.5x |
| Dividend yield | 3.1% | 4.3% |