Match Group Inc (MTCH) is fairly valued and Pinterest Inc (PINS) is overvalued.
Both trade above our estimate of their intrinsic value. MTCH is the closer of the two: -1%, against -123% for PINS.
Values as of the 22 Sept 2026 close.
Discounting its cash flows at 10.1% (average of 3 methods) values the shares at $41.24; the price of $41.71 is 1% above that value, and 72% of that value comes from beyond year five.
Leak Score 63/100 on 8 of 12 signals
Discounting its cash flows at 9.1% (average of 3 methods) values the shares at $8.23; the price of $18.39 is 123% above that value, and 77% of that value comes from beyond year five.
Leak Score 27/100 on 3 of 12 signals
| Metric | MTCH | PINS |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | Fairly valued | Overvalued |
| Price | $41.71 | $18.39 |
| Intrinsic value | $41.24 | $8.23 |
| Margin of safety | -1% | -123% |
| Leak Score | 63/100 (8/12) | 27/100 (3/12) |
| Market cap | $9.6B | $10.4B |
| Revenue growth, 5 years | 7.8% | 20.1% |
| Operating margin | 28.1% | 6.3% |
| Net margin | 20.2% | 5.5% |
| Return on equity | — | 6.5% |
| Debt to equity | — | 0.41 |
| P/E | 14.7x | 53.6x |
| Forward P/E | 12.9x | 7.7x |
| P/B | — | 3.6x |
| Dividend yield | 1.6% | — |