Microsoft Corp (MSFT) is slightly overvalued and Palantir Technologies Inc (PLTR) is overvalued.
Both trade above our estimate of their intrinsic value. MSFT is the closer of the two: -6%, against -417% for PLTR.
Values as of the 22 Sept 2026 close.
A 10.6x revenue multiple, adjusted for growth and margin, values the shares at $470.55; the price of $498.00 is 6% above that value.
Leak Score 65/100 on 10 of 12 signals
A 12.5x revenue multiple, adjusted for growth and margin, values the shares at $35.76; the price of $184.99 is 417% above that value.
Leak Score 67/100 on 8 of 12 signals
| Metric | MSFT | PLTR |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | Slightly overvalued | Overvalued |
| Price | $498.00 | $184.99 |
| Intrinsic value | $470.55 | $35.76 |
| Margin of safety | -6% | -417% |
| Leak Score | 65/100 (10/12) | 67/100 (8/12) |
| Market cap | $3.70T | $444.5B |
| Revenue growth, 5 years | 14.6% | 32.6% |
| Operating margin | 46.8% | 42.8% |
| Net margin | 40.3% | 49.0% |
| Return on equity | 34.0% | 38.4% |
| Debt to equity | 0.29 | 0.02 |
| P/E | 27.8x | 157.6x |
| Forward P/E | 21.2x | 80.9x |
| P/B | 8.4x | 45.5x |
| Dividend yield | 0.8% | — |