Moody's Corp (MCO) is overvalued and MSCI Inc (MSCI) is overvalued.
Both trade above our estimate of their intrinsic value. MSCI is the closer of the two: -53%, against -63% for MCO.
Values as of the 22 Sept 2026 close.
Discounting its cash flows at 10.7% (average of 3 methods) values the shares at $287.91; the price of $469.25 is 63% above that value, and 71% of that value comes from beyond year five.
Leak Score 65/100 on 10 of 12 signals
Discounting its cash flows at 10.1% (average of 3 methods) values the shares at $357.60; the price of $548.88 is 53% above that value, and 73% of that value comes from beyond year five.
Leak Score 72/100 on 8 of 12 signals
| Metric | MCO | MSCI |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | Overvalued | Overvalued |
| Price | $469.25 | $548.88 |
| Intrinsic value | $287.91 | $357.60 |
| Margin of safety | -63% | -53% |
| Leak Score | 65/100 (10/12) | 72/100 (8/12) |
| Market cap | $81.3B | $39.9B |
| Revenue growth, 5 years | 7.5% | 13.1% |
| Operating margin | 46.0% | 55.7% |
| Net margin | 34.3% | 40.7% |
| Return on equity | 80.2% | — |
| Debt to equity | 2.49 | — |
| P/E | 29.8x | 30.0x |
| Forward P/E | 24.8x | 24.4x |
| P/B | 26.9x | — |
| Dividend yield | 0.8% | 1.5% |