Life Time Group Holdings Inc (LTH) is fairly valued and Mattel Inc (MAT) is undervalued.
Against our estimates of intrinsic value, MAT trades at the wider discount: a margin of safety of +20%, against +3% for LTH.
Values as of the 22 Sept 2026 close.
Discounting its cash flows at 9.6% (average of 3 methods) values the shares at $39.20; the price of $38.19 is 3% below that value, and 76% of that value comes from beyond year five.
Leak Score 14/100 on 3 of 12 signals
Discounting its cash flows at 7.4% (average of 3 methods) values the shares at $16.60; the price of $13.21 is 20% below that value, and 81% of that value comes from beyond year five.
Leak Score 84/100 on 3 of 12 signals
| Metric | LTH | MAT |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | Fairly valued | Undervalued |
| Price | $38.19 | $13.21 |
| Intrinsic value | $39.20 | $16.60 |
| Margin of safety | +3% | +20% |
| Leak Score | 14/100 (3/12) | 84/100 (3/12) |
| Market cap | $8.5B | $3.8B |
| Revenue growth, 5 years | 25.9% | 3.1% |
| Operating margin | 17.2% | 8.7% |
| Net margin | 13.0% | 7.8% |
| Return on equity | 13.4% | 20.5% |
| Debt to equity | 1.29 | 1.37 |
| P/E | 20.9x | 9.7x |
| Forward P/E | 20.9x | 8.3x |
| P/B | 2.6x | 1.9x |