Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc (KNX) is overvalued and XPO Inc (XPO) is overvalued.
Both trade above our estimate of their intrinsic value. XPO is the closer of the two: -353%, against -599% for KNX.
Values as of the 22 Sept 2026 close.
Discounting its cash flows at 9.7% (average of 2 methods) values the shares at $9.60; the price of $67.09 is 599% above that value, and 74% of that value comes from beyond year five.
Leak Score 0/100 on 2 of 12 signals
Discounting its cash flows at 12.0% (average of 3 methods) values the shares at $39.25; the price of $177.67 is 353% above that value, and 66% of that value comes from beyond year five.
Leak Score 49/100 on 9 of 12 signals
| Metric | KNX | XPO |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | Overvalued | Overvalued |
| Price | $67.09 | $177.67 |
| Intrinsic value | $9.60 | $39.25 |
| Margin of safety | -599% | -353% |
| Leak Score | 0/100 (2/12) | 49/100 (9/12) |
| Market cap | $10.9B | $20.8B |
| Revenue growth, 5 years | 9.8% | -4.4% |
| Operating margin | 3.0% | 9.8% |
| Net margin | 0.6% | 4.7% |
| Return on equity | 0.6% | 21.6% |
| Debt to equity | 0.38 | 2.03 |
| P/E | 255.2x | 52.2x |
| Forward P/E | 16.5x | 27.2x |
| P/B | 1.6x | 10.6x |
| Dividend yield | 1.1% | — |