Johnson Controls International plc (JCI) is overvalued and Masco Corp (MAS) is slightly overvalued.
Both trade above our estimate of their intrinsic value. MAS is the closer of the two: -15%, against -153% for JCI.
Values as of the 22 Sept 2026 close.
Discounting its cash flows at 10.5% (average of 3 methods) values the shares at $57.92; the price of $146.44 is 153% above that value, and 71% of that value comes from beyond year five.
Leak Score 59/100 on 3 of 12 signals
Discounting its cash flows at 9.8% (average of 3 methods) values the shares at $60.63; the price of $69.96 is 15% above that value, and 73% of that value comes from beyond year five.
Leak Score 44/100 on 2 of 12 signals
| Metric | JCI | MAS |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | Overvalued | Slightly overvalued |
| Price | $146.44 | $69.96 |
| Intrinsic value | $57.92 | $60.63 |
| Margin of safety | -153% | -15% |
| Leak Score | 59/100 (3/12) | 44/100 (2/12) |
| Market cap | $88.7B | $13.8B |
| Revenue growth, 5 years | 1.1% | 1.0% |
| Operating margin | 14.4% | 17.7% |
| Net margin | 14.3% | 11.6% |
| Return on equity | 14.9% | — |
| Debt to equity | 0.70 | — |
| P/E | 25.5x | 16.1x |
| Forward P/E | 24.1x | 15.0x |
| P/B | 6.6x | — |
| Dividend yield | 1.1% | 1.8% |