Herc Holdings Inc (HRI) is overvalued and Ryder System Inc (R) is fairly valued.
Both trade above our estimate of their intrinsic value. R is the closer of the two: -5%, against -68% for HRI.
Values as of the 22 Sept 2026 close.
Discounting its cash flows at 8.1% (average of 3 methods) values the shares at $85.55; the price of $144.07 is 68% above that value, and 80% of that value comes from beyond year five.
Leak Score 0/100 on 2 of 12 signals
Discounting its cash flows at 7.8% (average of 3 methods) values the shares at $225.56; the price of $236.50 is 5% above that value, and 80% of that value comes from beyond year five.
Leak Score 14/100 on 3 of 12 signals
| Metric | HRI | R |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | Overvalued | Fairly valued |
| Price | $144.07 | $236.50 |
| Intrinsic value | $85.55 | $225.56 |
| Margin of safety | -68% | -5% |
| Leak Score | 0/100 (2/12) | 14/100 (3/12) |
| Market cap | $4.8B | $9.1B |
| Revenue growth, 5 years | 19.7% | 8.5% |
| Operating margin | 13.1% | 8.2% |
| Net margin | 1.0% | 3.8% |
| Return on equity | 2.6% | 16.6% |
| Debt to equity | 5.06 | 2.94 |
| P/E | 98.1x | 19.4x |
| Forward P/E | 13.1x | 13.3x |
| P/B | 2.5x | 3.1x |
| Dividend yield | 2.0% | 1.5% |