General Motors Company (GM) is overvalued and Rivian Automotive Inc (RIVN) is overvalued.
Both trade above our estimate of their intrinsic value. GM is the closer of the two: -40%, against -1676% for RIVN.
Values as of the 22 Sept 2026 close.
Discounting its cash flows at 8.1% (average of 3 methods) values the shares at $59.50; the price of $83.45 is 40% above that value, and 79% of that value comes from beyond year five.
Leak Score 42/100 on 10 of 12 signals
A 0.4x revenue multiple, discounted for its losses, values the shares at $0.85; the price of $15.14 is 1676% above that value.
Leak Score 27/100 on 7 of 12 signals
| Metric | GM | RIVN |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | Overvalued | Overvalued |
| Price | $83.45 | $15.14 |
| Intrinsic value | $59.50 | $0.85 |
| Margin of safety | -40% | -1676% |
| Leak Score | 42/100 (10/12) | 27/100 (7/12) |
| Market cap | $73.2B | $21.9B |
| Revenue growth, 5 years | 8.6% | — |
| Operating margin | 1.0% | -60.0% |
| Net margin | 1.0% | -54.9% |
| Return on equity | 3.0% | -57.9% |
| Debt to equity | 2.06 | 1.05 |
| P/E | 42.1x | — |
| Forward P/E | 5.5x | — |
| P/B | 1.2x | 4.0x |
| Dividend yield | 0.9% | — |