Fox Corp (FOXA) is undervalued and Warner Bros. Discovery Inc (WBD) is overvalued.
Against our estimates of intrinsic value, FOXA trades at the wider discount: a margin of safety of +51%, against -47% for WBD.
Values as of the 22 Sept 2026 close.
Discounting its cash flows at 8.5% (average of 3 methods) values the shares at $130.72; the price of $64.25 is 51% below that value, and 78% of that value comes from beyond year five.
Leak Score 77/100 on 8 of 12 signals
Discounting its cash flows at 11.5% (average of 2 methods) values the shares at $21.02; the price of $30.83 is 47% above that value, and 69% of that value comes from beyond year five.
Leak Score 32/100 on 9 of 12 signals
| Metric | FOXA | WBD |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | Undervalued | Overvalued |
| Price | $64.25 | $30.83 |
| Intrinsic value | $130.72 | $21.02 |
| Margin of safety | +51% | -47% |
| Leak Score | 77/100 (8/12) | 32/100 (9/12) |
| Market cap | $25.6B | $77.4B |
| Revenue growth, 5 years | 5.8% | 28.5% |
| Operating margin | 20.4% | 7.0% |
| Net margin | 9.8% | -8.8% |
| Return on equity | 14.3% | -9.2% |
| Debt to equity | 0.65 | 0.98 |
| P/E | 16.8x | — |
| Forward P/E | 11.0x | 10779.7x |
| P/B | 2.3x | 2.4x |
| Dividend yield | 0.9% | — |