Fox Corp (FOXA) is undervalued and Live Nation Entertainment Inc (LYV) is overvalued.
Against our estimates of intrinsic value, FOXA trades at the wider discount: a margin of safety of +51%, against -132% for LYV.
Values as of the 22 Sept 2026 close.
Discounting its cash flows at 8.5% (average of 3 methods) values the shares at $130.72; the price of $64.25 is 51% below that value, and 78% of that value comes from beyond year five.
Leak Score 77/100 on 8 of 12 signals
Discounting its cash flows at 9.6% values the shares at $73.24; the price of $169.84 is 132% above that value.
Leak Score 40/100 on 8 of 12 signals
| Metric | FOXA | LYV |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | Undervalued | Overvalued |
| Price | $64.25 | $169.84 |
| Intrinsic value | $130.72 | $73.24 |
| Margin of safety | +51% | -132% |
| Leak Score | 77/100 (8/12) | 40/100 (8/12) |
| Market cap | $25.6B | $40.0B |
| Revenue growth, 5 years | 5.8% | 68.4% |
| Operating margin | 20.4% | 5.6% |
| Net margin | 9.8% | -1.0% |
| Return on equity | 14.3% | -116.7% |
| Debt to equity | 0.65 | 137.04 |
| P/E | 16.8x | — |
| Forward P/E | 11.0x | 89.9x |
| P/B | 2.3x | 480.6x |
| Dividend yield | 0.9% | — |