Walt Disney Co (DIS) is overvalued and Roku Inc (ROKU) is overvalued.
Both trade above our estimate of their intrinsic value. DIS is the closer of the two: -34%, against -111% for ROKU.
Values as of the 19 Oct 2026 close.
Discounting its cash flows at 10.6% (average of 3 methods) values the shares at $81.80; the price of $109.59 is 34% above that value, and 70% of that value comes from beyond year five.
Leak Score 48/100 on 12 of 12 signals
A 1.7x revenue multiple, discounted for its losses, values the shares at $73.75; the price of $155.54 is 111% above that value.
Leak Score 43/100 on 11 of 12 signals
| Metric | DIS | ROKU |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | Overvalued | Overvalued |
| Price | $109.59 | $155.54 |
| Intrinsic value | $81.80 | $73.75 |
| Margin of safety | -34% | -111% |
| Leak Score | 48/100 (12/12) | 43/100 (11/12) |
| Market cap | $189.2B | $23.1B |
| Revenue growth, 5 years | 7.7% | 21.6% |
| Operating margin | 15.4% | 5.3% |
| Net margin | 8.7% | 6.8% |
| Return on equity | 7.8% | 13.1% |
| Debt to equity | 0.42 | 0.17 |
| P/E | 22.6x | 66.5x |
| Forward P/E | 14.6x | 39.5x |
| P/B | 1.7x | 8.2x |
| Dividend yield | 1.3% | — |