Walt Disney Co (DIS) is overvalued and Liberty Media Corp (FWONK) is overvalued.
Both trade above our estimate of their intrinsic value. DIS is the closer of the two: -34%, against -125% for FWONK.
Values as of the 19 Oct 2026 close.
Discounting its cash flows at 10.6% (average of 3 methods) values the shares at $81.80; the price of $109.59 is 34% above that value, and 70% of that value comes from beyond year five.
Leak Score 48/100 on 12 of 12 signals
Discounting its cash flows at 8.1% (average of 3 methods) values the shares at $39.94; the price of $89.93 is 125% above that value, and 79% of that value comes from beyond year five.
Leak Score 35/100 on 11 of 12 signals
| Metric | DIS | FWONK |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | Overvalued | Overvalued |
| Price | $109.59 | $89.93 |
| Intrinsic value | $81.80 | $39.94 |
| Margin of safety | -34% | -125% |
| Leak Score | 48/100 (12/12) | 35/100 (11/12) |
| Market cap | $189.2B | $22.5B |
| Revenue growth, 5 years | 7.7% | 31.4% |
| Operating margin | 15.4% | 12.4% |
| Net margin | 8.7% | 9.4% |
| Return on equity | 7.8% | 5.8% |
| Debt to equity | 0.42 | 0.65 |
| P/E | 22.6x | 55.6x |
| Forward P/E | 14.6x | 40.8x |
| P/B | 1.7x | 3.0x |
| Dividend yield | 1.3% | — |