Walt Disney Co (DIS) is slightly overvalued and Fox Corp (FOXA) is undervalued.
Against our estimates of intrinsic value, FOXA trades at the wider discount: a margin of safety of +51%, against -17% for DIS.
Values as of the 22 Sept 2026 close.
Discounting its cash flows at 10.6% (average of 3 methods) values the shares at $88.86; the price of $103.82 is 17% above that value, and 71% of that value comes from beyond year five.
Leak Score 50/100 on 10 of 12 signals
Discounting its cash flows at 8.5% (average of 3 methods) values the shares at $130.72; the price of $64.25 is 51% below that value, and 78% of that value comes from beyond year five.
Leak Score 77/100 on 8 of 12 signals
| Metric | DIS | FOXA |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | Slightly overvalued | Undervalued |
| Price | $103.82 | $64.25 |
| Intrinsic value | $88.86 | $130.72 |
| Margin of safety | -17% | +51% |
| Leak Score | 50/100 (10/12) | 77/100 (8/12) |
| Market cap | $179.3B | $25.6B |
| Revenue growth, 5 years | 7.7% | 5.8% |
| Operating margin | 15.4% | 20.4% |
| Net margin | 8.7% | 9.8% |
| Return on equity | 7.8% | 14.3% |
| Debt to equity | 0.42 | 0.65 |
| P/E | 21.4x | 16.8x |
| Forward P/E | 13.8x | 11.0x |
| P/B | 1.6x | 2.3x |
| Dividend yield | 1.3% | 0.9% |