CuriosityStream Inc (CURI) is overvalued and Nexstar Media Group Inc (NXST) is overvalued.
Both trade above our estimate of their intrinsic value. NXST is the closer of the two: -42%, against -51% for CURI.
Values as of the 22 Sept 2026 close.
A 1.4x revenue multiple, discounted for its losses, values the shares at $1.90; the price of $2.86 is 51% above that value.
Leak Score 27/100 on 3 of 12 signals
Discounting its cash flows at 6.6% (average of 3 methods) values the shares at $117.84; the price of $167.53 is 42% above that value, and 84% of that value comes from beyond year five.
Leak Score 0/100 on 2 of 12 signals
| Metric | CURI | NXST |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | Overvalued | Overvalued |
| Price | $2.86 | $167.53 |
| Intrinsic value | $1.90 | $117.84 |
| Margin of safety | -51% | -42% |
| Leak Score | 27/100 (3/12) | 0/100 (2/12) |
| Market cap | $170M | $5.2B |
| Revenue growth, 5 years | 12.6% | 1.9% |
| Operating margin | -0.3% | 18.0% |
| Net margin | 0.0% | 2.8% |
| Return on equity | 0.1% | 7.3% |
| Debt to equity | 0.09 | 5.34 |
| P/E | — | 32.0x |
| Forward P/E | 11.6x | 9.4x |
| P/B | 4.1x | 2.3x |
| Dividend yield | 11.5% | 4.4% |