Conoco Phillips (COP) is undervalued and Woodside Energy Group Ltd ADR (WDS) is undervalued.
Against our estimates of intrinsic value, COP trades at the wider discount: a margin of safety of +55%, against +47% for WDS.
Values as of the 22 Sept 2026 close.
Discounting its cash flows at 6.9% (average of 3 methods) values the shares at $279.44; the price of $125.27 is 55% below that value, and 84% of that value comes from beyond year five.
Leak Score 88/100 on 8 of 12 signals
Discounting its cash flows at 7.2% (average of 3 methods) values the shares at $42.24; the price of $22.29 is 47% below that value, and 84% of that value comes from beyond year five.
Leak Score 68/100 on 3 of 12 signals
| Metric | COP | WDS |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | Undervalued | Undervalued |
| Price | $125.27 | $22.29 |
| Intrinsic value | $279.44 | $42.24 |
| Margin of safety | +55% | +47% |
| Leak Score | 88/100 (8/12) | 68/100 (3/12) |
| Market cap | $150.5B | $42.3B |
| Revenue growth, 5 years | 25.6% | 29.0% |
| Operating margin | 22.1% | 26.5% |
| Net margin | 14.7% | 22.2% |
| Return on equity | 14.1% | 8.6% |
| Debt to equity | 0.36 | 0.38 |
| P/E | 16.6x | 13.8x |
| Forward P/E | 13.5x | 13.3x |
| P/B | 2.3x | 1.2x |
| Dividend yield | 2.7% | 6.4% |