Canadian Natural Resources Ltd (CNQ) is undervalued and Devon Energy Corp (DVN) is undervalued.
Against our estimates of intrinsic value, CNQ trades at the wider discount: a margin of safety of +40%, against +35% for DVN.
Values as of the 22 Sept 2026 close.
Discounting its cash flows at 8.0% (average of 3 methods) values the shares at $79.80; the price of $47.77 is 40% below that value, and 80% of that value comes from beyond year five.
Leak Score 100/100 on 3 of 12 signals
Discounting its cash flows at 7.9% (average of 3 methods) values the shares at $72.33; the price of $46.93 is 35% below that value, and 80% of that value comes from beyond year five.
Leak Score 83/100 on 8 of 12 signals
| Metric | CNQ | DVN |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | Undervalued | Undervalued |
| Price | $47.77 | $46.93 |
| Intrinsic value | $79.80 | $72.33 |
| Margin of safety | +40% | +35% |
| Leak Score | 100/100 (3/12) | 83/100 (8/12) |
| Market cap | $98.5B | $51.6B |
| Revenue growth, 5 years | 17.1% | 31.5% |
| Operating margin | 26.6% | 24.4% |
| Net margin | 26.2% | 16.6% |
| Return on equity | 26.8% | 11.6% |
| Debt to equity | 0.43 | 0.28 |
| P/E | 11.8x | 11.1x |
| Forward P/E | 12.9x | 9.4x |
| P/B | 3.0x | 1.3x |
| Dividend yield | 3.7% | 2.5% |