Cleveland-Cliffs Inc vs Ternium SA ADR

Cleveland-Cliffs Inc (CLF) is undervalued and Ternium SA ADR (TX) is slightly undervalued.

Against our estimates of intrinsic value, CLF trades at the wider discount: a margin of safety of +73%, against +19% for TX.

Values as of the 22 Sept 2026 close.

Cleveland-Cliffs Inc (CLF)

A 1.8x revenue multiple, discounted for its losses, values the shares at $47.21; the price of $12.53 is 73% below that value.

Leak Score 56/100 on 2 of 12 signals

Ternium SA ADR (TX)

Discounting its cash flows at 8.3% (average of 3 methods) values the shares at $69.30; the price of $56.43 is 19% below that value, and 79% of that value comes from beyond year five.

Leak Score 30/100 on 2 of 12 signals

MetricCLFTX
VerdictUndervaluedSlightly undervalued
Price$12.53$56.43
Intrinsic value$47.21$69.30
Margin of safety+73%+19%
Leak Score56/100 (2/12)30/100 (2/12)
Market cap$7.1B$11.1B
Revenue growth, 5 years28.9%11.9%
Operating margin-3.9%7.8%
Net margin-4.6%4.4%
Return on equity-15.2%5.7%
Debt to equity1.370.25
P/E15.9x
Forward P/E16.4x7.5x
P/B1.3x0.9x
Dividend yield4.3%

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