C.H. Robinson Worldwide Inc vs Fedex Corp

C.H. Robinson Worldwide Inc (CHRW) is overvalued and Fedex Corp (FDX) is fairly valued.

Against our estimates of intrinsic value, FDX trades at the wider discount: a margin of safety of +1%, against -151% for CHRW.

Values as of the 22 Sept 2026 close.

C.H. Robinson Worldwide Inc (CHRW)

Discounting its cash flows at 9.4% (average of 3 methods) values the shares at $59.55; the price of $149.56 is 151% above that value, and 74% of that value comes from beyond year five.

Leak Score 59/100 on 3 of 12 signals

Fedex Corp (FDX)

Discounting its cash flows at 9.4% (average of 3 methods) values the shares at $299.56; the price of $295.94 is 1% below that value, and 74% of that value comes from beyond year five.

Leak Score 50/100 on 10 of 12 signals

MetricCHRWFDX
VerdictOvervaluedFairly valued
Price$149.56$295.94
Intrinsic value$59.55$299.56
Margin of safety-151%+1%
Leak Score59/100 (3/12)50/100 (10/12)
Market cap$17.5B$70.0B
Revenue growth, 5 years0.0%2.5%
Operating margin4.9%7.0%
Net margin3.7%4.7%
Return on equity37.1%14.8%
Debt to equity1.211.36
P/E28.5x16.0x
Forward P/E19.9x
P/B10.8x2.2x
Dividend yield1.7%1.6%

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