Church & Dwight Co Inc (CHD) is overvalued and Procter & Gamble Co (PG) is overvalued.
Both trade above our estimate of their intrinsic value. PG is the closer of the two: -42%, against -76% for CHD.
Values as of the 22 Sept 2026 close.
Discounting its cash flows at 7.9% (average of 3 methods) values the shares at $54.66; the price of $96.12 is 76% above that value, and 80% of that value comes from beyond year five.
Leak Score 68/100 on 9 of 12 signals
Discounting its cash flows at 7.6% (average of 3 methods) values the shares at $104.12; the price of $148.22 is 42% above that value, and 81% of that value comes from beyond year five.
Leak Score 60/100 on 10 of 12 signals
| Metric | CHD | PG |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | Overvalued | Overvalued |
| Price | $96.12 | $148.22 |
| Intrinsic value | $54.66 | $104.12 |
| Margin of safety | -76% | -42% |
| Leak Score | 68/100 (9/12) | 60/100 (10/12) |
| Market cap | $22.8B | $344.3B |
| Revenue growth, 5 years | 4.8% | 2.7% |
| Operating margin | 17.5% | 23.9% |
| Net margin | 12.0% | 18.1% |
| Return on equity | 17.0% | 30.3% |
| Debt to equity | 0.56 | 0.65 |
| P/E | 30.9x | 22.4x |
| Forward P/E | 23.8x | 20.1x |
| P/B | 5.2x | 6.5x |
| Dividend yield | 1.3% | 3.0% |