Carrier Global Corp (CARR) is overvalued and Carlisle Companies Inc (CSL) is slightly overvalued.
Both trade above our estimate of their intrinsic value. CSL is the closer of the two: -7%, against -77% for CARR.
Values as of the 22 Sept 2026 close.
Discounting its cash flows at 9.7% (average of 3 methods) values the shares at $31.24; the price of $55.26 is 77% above that value, and 73% of that value comes from beyond year five.
Leak Score 45/100 on 9 of 12 signals
Discounting its cash flows at 8.7% (average of 3 methods) values the shares at $308.07; the price of $328.55 is 7% above that value, and 77% of that value comes from beyond year five.
Leak Score 59/100 on 3 of 12 signals
| Metric | CARR | CSL |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | Overvalued | Slightly overvalued |
| Price | $55.26 | $328.55 |
| Intrinsic value | $31.24 | $308.07 |
| Margin of safety | -77% | -7% |
| Leak Score | 45/100 (9/12) | 59/100 (3/12) |
| Market cap | $45.6B | $13.0B |
| Revenue growth, 5 years | 4.5% | 4.8% |
| Operating margin | 8.2% | 20.6% |
| Net margin | 5.4% | 14.3% |
| Return on equity | 8.4% | 39.4% |
| Debt to equity | 0.94 | 1.78 |
| P/E | 38.9x | 18.7x |
| Forward P/E | 16.7x | 13.7x |
| P/B | 3.5x | 8.1x |
| Dividend yield | 1.7% | 1.4% |