Brady Corp (BRC) is fairly valued and Geo Group Inc (GEO) is slightly overvalued.
Against our estimates of intrinsic value, BRC trades at the wider discount: a margin of safety of +3%, against -11% for GEO.
Values as of the 22 Sept 2026 close.
Discounting its cash flows at 8.5% (average of 3 methods) values the shares at $85.65; the price of $83.39 is 3% below that value, and 78% of that value comes from beyond year five.
Leak Score 59/100 on 3 of 12 signals
Discounting its cash flows at 8.0% (average of 3 methods) values the shares at $26.84; the price of $29.74 is 11% above that value, and 79% of that value comes from beyond year five.
Leak Score 43/100 on 3 of 12 signals
| Metric | BRC | GEO |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | Fairly valued | Slightly overvalued |
| Price | $83.39 | $29.74 |
| Intrinsic value | $85.65 | $26.84 |
| Margin of safety | +3% | -11% |
| Leak Score | 59/100 (3/12) | 43/100 (3/12) |
| Market cap | $3.9B | $3.9B |
| Revenue growth, 5 years | 7.7% | 2.3% |
| Operating margin | 15.8% | 12.5% |
| Net margin | 12.4% | 10.3% |
| Return on equity | 16.1% | 20.1% |
| Debt to equity | 0.06 | 1.08 |
| P/E | 19.4x | 14.0x |
| Forward P/E | 11.6x | 16.6x |
| P/B | 2.9x | 2.6x |
| Dividend yield | 1.2% | — |