Birkenstock Holding Plc (BIRK) is undervalued and Deckers Outdoor Corp (DECK) is undervalued.
Against our estimates of intrinsic value, DECK trades at the wider discount: a margin of safety of +49%, against +44% for BIRK.
Values as of the 22 Sept 2026 close.
Discounting its cash flows at 9.4% (average of 3 methods) values the shares at $56.39; the price of $31.68 is 44% below that value, and 76% of that value comes from beyond year five.
Leak Score 68/100 on 3 of 12 signals
Discounting its cash flows at 10.2% (average of 3 methods) values the shares at $157.96; the price of $79.83 is 49% below that value, and 73% of that value comes from beyond year five.
Leak Score 100/100 on 3 of 12 signals
| Metric | BIRK | DECK |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | Undervalued | Undervalued |
| Price | $31.68 | $79.83 |
| Intrinsic value | $56.39 | $157.96 |
| Margin of safety | +44% | +49% |
| Leak Score | 68/100 (3/12) | 100/100 (3/12) |
| Market cap | $5.6B | $10.9B |
| Revenue growth, 5 years | 19.1% | 16.4% |
| Operating margin | 24.5% | 22.4% |
| Net margin | 14.8% | 18.4% |
| Return on equity | 12.4% | 42.6% |
| Debt to equity | 0.69 | 0.21 |
| P/E | 14.8x | 11.3x |
| Forward P/E | 11.2x | 9.6x |
| P/B | 1.8x | 4.7x |