Mission Produce Inc (AVO) is overvalued and HF Foods Group Inc (HFFG) is overvalued.
Both trade above our estimate of their intrinsic value. HFFG is the closer of the two: -51%, against -80% for AVO.
Values as of the 22 Sept 2026 close.
Discounting its cash flows at 7.8% (average of 3 methods) values the shares at $7.05; the price of $12.66 is 80% above that value, and 81% of that value comes from beyond year five.
Leak Score 25/100 on 9 of 12 signals
Discounting its cash flows at 6.2% values the shares at $1.01; the price of $1.52 is 51% above that value.
Leak Score 0/100 on 2 of 12 signals
| Metric | AVO | HFFG |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | Overvalued | Overvalued |
| Price | $12.66 | $1.52 |
| Intrinsic value | $7.05 | $1.01 |
| Margin of safety | -80% | -51% |
| Leak Score | 25/100 (9/12) | 0/100 (2/12) |
| Market cap | $1.1B | $82M |
| Revenue growth, 5 years | 10.0% | 16.7% |
| Operating margin | 3.8% | 0.6% |
| Net margin | 0.1% | -2.8% |
| Return on equity | 0.2% | -15.5% |
| Debt to equity | 0.68 | 1.16 |
| P/E | 369.1x | — |
| Forward P/E | 16.2x | 3.8x |
| P/B | 1.4x | 0.4x |