AngloGold Ashanti Plc (AU) is undervalued and Newmont Corp (NEM) is undervalued.
Against our estimates of intrinsic value, AU trades at the wider discount: a margin of safety of +48%, against +46% for NEM.
Values as of the 22 Sept 2026 close.
Discounting its cash flows at 8.8% (average of 3 methods) values the shares at $202.91; the price of $104.60 is 48% below that value, and 78% of that value comes from beyond year five.
Leak Score 100/100 on 3 of 12 signals
Discounting its cash flows at 8.4% (average of 3 methods) values the shares at $234.78; the price of $127.26 is 46% below that value, and 78% of that value comes from beyond year five.
Leak Score 94/100 on 9 of 12 signals
| Metric | AU | NEM |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | Undervalued | Undervalued |
| Price | $104.60 | $127.26 |
| Intrinsic value | $202.91 | $234.78 |
| Margin of safety | +48% | +46% |
| Leak Score | 100/100 (3/12) | 94/100 (9/12) |
| Market cap | $52.8B | $134.1B |
| Revenue growth, 5 years | 17.4% | 14.1% |
| Operating margin | 50.7% | 54.0% |
| Net margin | 32.2% | 34.0% |
| Return on equity | 46.5% | 25.5% |
| Debt to equity | 0.20 | 0.16 |
| P/E | 14.0x | 16.1x |
| Forward P/E | 11.0x | 12.0x |
| P/B | 5.9x | 3.8x |
| Dividend yield | 4.6% | 0.8% |