Aon Plc (AON) is overvalued and Baldwin Insurance Group Inc (BWIN) is overvalued.
Both trade above our estimate of their intrinsic value. AON is the closer of the two: -56%, against -248% for BWIN.
Values as of the 22 Sept 2026 close.
Book value at 2.50x, the multiple a 44.9% return on equity justifies, blended with earnings, values the shares at $183.57; the price of $286.10 is 56% above that value.
Leak Score 59/100 on 3 of 12 signals
Book value and earnings at sector multiples values the shares at $9.18; the price of $31.95 is 248% above that value.
Leak Score 0/100 on 2 of 12 signals
| Metric | AON | BWIN |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | Overvalued | Overvalued |
| Price | $286.10 | $31.95 |
| Intrinsic value | $183.57 | $9.18 |
| Margin of safety | -56% | -248% |
| Leak Score | 59/100 (3/12) | 0/100 (2/12) |
| Market cap | $60.7B | $4.3B |
| Revenue growth, 5 years | 9.3% | 44.3% |
| Operating margin | 28.5% | -2.6% |
| Net margin | 22.3% | -4.7% |
| Return on equity | 44.9% | -10.7% |
| Debt to equity | 1.65 | 2.90 |
| P/E | 15.8x | — |
| Forward P/E | 13.9x | 12.9x |
| P/B | 6.3x | 3.5x |
| Dividend yield | 1.1% | — |