Autonation Inc (AN) is undervalued and Valvoline Inc (VVV) is overvalued.
Against our estimates of intrinsic value, AN trades at the wider discount: a margin of safety of +35%, against -172% for VVV.
Values as of the 22 Sept 2026 close.
Discounting its cash flows at 6.6% (average of 3 methods) values the shares at $261.45; the price of $169.61 is 35% below that value, and 84% of that value comes from beyond year five.
Leak Score 86/100 on 3 of 12 signals
Discounting its cash flows at 8.4% (average of 3 methods) values the shares at $10.54; the price of $28.67 is 172% above that value, and 77% of that value comes from beyond year five.
Leak Score 14/100 on 3 of 12 signals
| Metric | AN | VVV |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | Undervalued | Overvalued |
| Price | $169.61 | $28.67 |
| Intrinsic value | $261.45 | $10.54 |
| Margin of safety | +35% | -172% |
| Leak Score | 86/100 (3/12) | 14/100 (3/12) |
| Market cap | $5.6B | $3.7B |
| Revenue growth, 5 years | 6.3% | -6.2% |
| Operating margin | 4.7% | 17.7% |
| Net margin | 2.8% | 5.2% |
| Return on equity | 32.8% | 28.4% |
| Debt to equity | 5.02 | 4.75 |
| P/E | 7.9x | 36.3x |
| Forward P/E | 6.8x | 14.4x |
| P/B | 2.5x | 8.8x |