Amcor Plc (AMCR) is slightly undervalued and Ball Corp (BALL) is overvalued.
Against our estimates of intrinsic value, AMCR trades at the wider discount: a margin of safety of +13%, against -20% for BALL.
Values as of the 22 Sept 2026 close.
Discounting its cash flows at 7.1% (average of 3 methods) values the shares at $49.91; the price of $43.24 is 13% below that value, and 83% of that value comes from beyond year five.
Leak Score 30/100 on 2 of 12 signals
Discounting its cash flows at 8.4% (average of 3 methods) values the shares at $49.92; the price of $59.97 is 20% above that value, and 78% of that value comes from beyond year five.
Leak Score 14/100 on 3 of 12 signals
| Metric | AMCR | BALL |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | Slightly undervalued | Overvalued |
| Price | $43.24 | $59.97 |
| Intrinsic value | $49.91 | $49.92 |
| Margin of safety | +13% | -20% |
| Leak Score | 30/100 (2/12) | 14/100 (3/12) |
| Market cap | $20.0B | $15.9B |
| Revenue growth, 5 years | 12.8% | 2.3% |
| Operating margin | 8.6% | 11.5% |
| Net margin | 4.7% | 6.6% |
| Return on equity | 9.4% | 17.3% |
| Debt to equity | 1.28 | 1.32 |
| P/E | 18.1x | 17.1x |
| Forward P/E | — | 13.3x |
| P/B | 1.7x | 2.8x |
| Dividend yield | 6.0% | 1.3% |